Newcastle vs Arsenal - Predictions, Betting Tip & H2H - 28/9/2025
Last updated: October 13, 2025
Written by Chase B. Goody - Chase B. Goody looks like trouble - pink blazer, shades at night - but he’s the sharpest mind in the game. A born athlete who dodged the grind to chase bigger paydays as a tipster, Chase runs lean: no fluff, no filters, just cold reads and hot streaks. He moves in circles with agents, journos, and a certain pro athlete he won’t name. His blog hits hard, his picks land often (58%, if you're counting), and he always bets ahead.
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Newcastle United and Arsenal meet at St James’ Park in one of the standout fixtures of the Premier League weekend. Newcastle are eager to kickstart their campaign with a big result at home, while Arsenal are focused on keeping up their push near the top of the table. Injuries will play a role: Newcastle are without Fabian Schär and Yoane Wissa, while Arsenal miss Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus but are otherwise near full strength. With both sides known for their intensity and physical approach, this match could prove a key moment in shaping early-season momentum.
📰Match Preview
St James’ Park is always a tough place to visit, but Newcastle’s attack has been misfiring, averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per game this season. The absence of Wissa further weakens their options, and Schär’s unavailability could force defensive reshuffles. Expect Eddie Howe’s side to sit compact, look for quick transitions, and target set-piece situations where Kieran Trippier’s delivery remains a major weapon.
Arsenal’s defensive structure and pressing game are among the best in the league. Viktor Gyökeres leads all players for final-third pressures and has already scored three times in two home appearances, bringing energy and clinical finishing to Arteta’s attack. Arsenal will look to dominate possession, progress play through midfield, and create overloads in wide areas to unpick Newcastle’s block.
Head-to-head history is evenly competitive but still tilts Arsenal’s way — they have won 6 of the last 10 Premier League meetings (D1 L3), including their most recent clash in May 2025, a 1-0 win at the Emirates. Newcastle have taken some big scalps at home in recent years, though, so Arsenal cannot afford to take their foot off the gas.
🎯 Predictions
Newcastle’s home crowd will ensure this is a fiery encounter, but Arsenal’s organisation and attacking depth should give them the edge. Expect a close match decided by moments of quality from Arsenal’s forwards.
Predicted score: Newcastle 1-2 Arsenal 8.50
(Goals: Isak | Gyökeres, Martinelli)
💰 Betting Tips
| Market | Pick | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Arsenal Win (2.12) | Won 6 of last 10 PL meetings, superior squad quality |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes (1.76) | Newcastle dangerous from set-pieces, Arsenal rarely keep clean sheets away |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 (1.97) | 3 of last 4 league meetings produced 3+ goals |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Viktor Gyökeres | High shot volume, relentless pressing, 3 goals already |
| Player Prop | Over 3.5 Arsenal Shots on Target | Arsenal’s wide play + sustained pressure generates chances |
📊 Head-to-Head & Key Stats
- Arsenal in last 10 PL meetings vs Newcastle: 6W, 1D, 3L (60% win rate).
- Arsenal won the last league meeting 1-0 (May 2025).
- Newcastle have conceded in 4 of their last 5 PL home games.
- Gyökeres: 166 final-third pressures, most in league; 3 goals in first 2 home appearances.
- Arsenal average 60%+ possession in league play.
- Newcastle rely on Trippier’s creativity — most crosses and chances created this season.
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