Arsenal vs Manchester City – Predictions, Betting Tip & H2H - 21/9/2025
Last updated: October 13, 2025
Written by Chase B. Goody - Chase B. Goody looks like trouble - pink blazer, shades at night - but he’s the sharpest mind in the game. A born athlete who dodged the grind to chase bigger paydays as a tipster, Chase runs lean: no fluff, no filters, just cold reads and hot streaks. He moves in circles with agents, journos, and a certain pro athlete he won’t name. His blog hits hard, his picks land often (58%, if you're counting), and he always bets ahead.
Article contents:
This Sunday, Arsenal host Manchester City in a high-stakes Premier League match at the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal are riding high after strong home performances and can pull further clear at the top of the table with a win. Meanwhile, City will be looking to bounce back from midweek exertions in Europe. Injuries loom large: Arsenal are without Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, and likely missing Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard, while City are short of Mateo Kovacic, Rayan Cherki, Omar Marmoush and may be cautious with John Stones. With both sides chasing momentum, this could shape the early title race.
📰Match Preview
Arsenal’s resurgence at home is striking. They have won their last three Premier League home games by a combined 9–0 without conceding. Should they go unbeaten again here, it marks a rare four-match clean sheet run at home which they haven’t achieved since December 2021. Their attacking sharpness is backed by high pressing stats — Viktor Gyökeres leads the league in final-third pressures (166), and has already bagged 3 goals in 2 home appearances . Arsenal’s style of play is direct and aggressive.
On the flip side, City have struggled in fixtures immediately following a European midweek tie: five defeats in their last seven such matches . Their recent trips to Arsenal have not gone well; they’ve lost their last two league visits, matching a longer stretch back in 2009. Erling Haaland remains a potent threat: 4 goals in 6 Premier League appearances vs Arsenal, and 19 goals in 20 away London games, with one every 93 minutes on average. City will need composure, especially with a less fresh squad due to European commitments.
🎯Predictions
Arsenal are favoured to win given their home form and City’s fatigue after European games. Expect energy, intensity, and plenty of pressing. If Arsenal can maintain defensive discipline, they have the upper hand; City will lean on Haaland to stretch defences.
Predicted score: Arsenal 2-1 Manchester City
(Goals: Gyökeres, Saliba / Haaland)
💡Betting Tips
| Market | Pick | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Arsenal Win or Draw (Double Chance) | Arsenal unbeaten in recent meetings; strong at home. |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | Haaland almost inevitable; Arsenal’s attack is sharp. |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | Recent head-to-head and form suggest goals both ends. |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Erling Haaland | Excellent record vs Arsenal; prolific in London. |
| Player Prop | Viktor Gyökeres to Score | In-form, high pressing presence, good goal return at home. |
📈Head-to-Head & Key Stats
- Arsenal have won 2 of their last 4 league meetings with City (drawn 2), matching what they managed in the prior 22 (D5 L15).
- City have lost their last two Premier League visits to Arsenal, same as their prior 14 (W7 D5). Longest run away losses since April 2009.
- Arsenal’s last 3 home PL games: 9-0 aggregate, no goals conceded.
- City have lost 5 of their last 7 PL games immediately after a midweek European match (W2).
- Arsenal are 2nd in the league in direct attacks (8 so far, ~2 per game), up from 11th last season (1.7 per game).
- Haaland: 19 goals in 20 Premier League games in London; best minutes-per-goal ratio among those with 1,000+ away minutes (≈93 mins).
- Gyökeres: most pressures in final third in PL this season (166); 3 goals in first two home games.
- City have injuries: Kovacic (Achilles), Cherki (thigh), Marmoush (knee); their defensive options may be stretched.
- Arsenal missing: Jesus, Havertz (long-term), Saka, Ødegaard; Ben White also doubtful.
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